Gears of National Economic Power
America’s economic statecraft tools — sanctions, tariffs, export controls, investment screening, anti-money laundering laws, foreign assistance, and supply-chain resiliency measures — are not standalone levers, they are gears in a single engine of national power. To be effective, they must move in concert, coordinated across agencies, and aligned with allies to defend U.S. interests, deter adversaries, and power a stable, free, open, and fair Near-Global Economy.
Trade and Tariffs
Trade policies — like tariffs, free trade agreements, and free trade zone legislation — use access to the United States’s powerful economy as a form of leverage. A wide range of Executive Branch agencies exercise power over trade, and Congress’s power over treaties, regulation of commerce, and legislation also give it significant authority over this engine of economic power.
Sanctions
Sanctions restrict bad actors’ ability to access funds and engage in commercial activity. Sanctions can be broad and comprehensive or narrowly tailored to specific types of transactions and/or individuals.
Export and Import Restrictions
Export and import restrictions control access to particular goods and sectors. Such controls can be used to restrict foreign access to sensitive American technologies — such as military technologies. They can also be used to protect specific American economic sectors or prevent dependence on a foreign producer for a good.
Economic Resilience and Supply Chain
Economic resilience tools reduce U.S. dependence on adversarial supply chains, secure access to critical materials and technologies, and ensure the industrial base can sustain national defense and economic competitiveness. These tools combine industrial policy, investment screening, and strategic reserves to buffer against disruption.
Illicit Finance Rules
Illicit finance rules can counter the movement of dirty money by exposing hidden ownership structures, shady networks, and money laundering that enables sanctions evasion, corruption, and adversarial economic influence. By requiring systemic responses to red flags, these tools support enforcement across other gears of economic power.
Investment Flows
Investment flow tools screen inbound foreign capital for national security risks and restrict outbound U.S. investment in adversarial economies. By monitoring and pruning investment in sensitive U.S. sectors — and American capital flows abroad — these tools prevent adversaries from acquiring critical technologies and capabilities.
Positive Economic Power
Positive economic power uses U.S. financial resources, development tools, and trade capacity to build relationships with partner nations, compete with adversarial economic influence, and advance U.S. strategic interests. These tools offer alternatives to dependence on adversarial actors — particularly in infrastructure, energy, and technology.
The U.S. economy is the largest in the world and the United States is the world’s leading importer. Given America’s huge consumer market, it has acted as the primary recipient of goods for many of the world’s export-dependent economies, most notably China. While systemic bilateral trade imbalances can have negative consequences over the long-term, they also provide the United States with substantial leverage over exporting nations, including adversaries.
The United States has the leverage and leadership platform to establish basic rules of economic engagement rooted in free, fair, and efficient trade.
Key Institutions
There are more than 18,000 individuals, entities, and jurisdictions currently subject to U.S. sanctions.
But sanctions can be far more effective — with added resources for enforcement, secondary sanctions applied to enablers of evasion, flexibility to support compromise, and integration into a larger strategy.
Key Institutions
Export controls have been chronically circumvented by malign actors, used more to send messages of disapproval than to effectively restrict access. However, tailored action, enforcement, and coordination with allies can impose substantial penalties for those that circumvent American rules.
Key Institutions
America must reinforce its supply chains — making them resilient, flexible, and free from foreign threats and intimidation.
Ally-shoring describes the need to move critical supply chains and core trade from our adversaries to our allies. In recent years, this process has picked up steam, but it must be both accelerated and institutionalized.
Ally-shoring also generates concrete benefits for American workers and businesses — establishing reliable supply lines for American products, providing essential components for advanced American goods, while also boosting friendly markets that are likely, in turn, to buy U.S. products.
Key Institutions
America’s enemies depend on the shadows of our financial system to raise and move money. Enforcing the rules that expose that activity — and mandate action from banks, law enforcement, and monitoring actors — are critical to cutting off the cash that sustains illicit actors.
Key Institutions
Since President Gerald Ford established the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) in 1975, the screening of foreign investment has been a key tool to protect American national security.
While foreign investment is often a lifeline to an emerging economy, it can also be a key entry point for surveillance, intellectual property theft, or uncontrollable market dumping. Adversarial investment in major allied countries adds an additional layer of complication — and necessitates coordinated screening.
Key Institutions
America’s economic statecraft has long been defined more by its restrictions than its inducements. In a world of intensifying geoeconomic competition, this punitive bias cedes the initiative to authoritarian powers peddling investments greased with bribes.
America must provide a compelling counteroffer. The government’s ability to invest in and support partners demonstrates the tangible benefits from alliance with the American-led economic system. Many public sector entities (including geoeconomic programs like Prosper Africa) translate U.S. positive economic power into specific regional strategies.
Key Institutions
Research by Elaine K. Dezenski & Josh Birenbaum
Visual by Angela Howard & Susan Soh
Edited by Jason Fields & Pavak Patel